Olivier Marie

Congratulations to fellow Olivier Marie (Erasmus University Rotterdam) whose article “Economic Uncertainty, Parental Selection, and Children’s Educational Outcomes” (co-authored with Arnaud Chevalier) is forthcoming in the Journal of Political Economy.

After the fall of the Berlin Wall, East Germany experienced an unprecedented temporary drop in fertility driven by economic uncertainty. We show that the children born during this transition period performed worse on a range of educational outcomes from an early age onwards. The mothers of these children exhibit personal characteristics and family structures consistent with negative parental selection. Investigating the underlying mechanisms reveals that parental educational input and emotional attachment were also lower for these children. Finally, our ability to compare siblings means that we can reject that our results stem from a time of birth effect.

Article citation: Arnaud Chevalier and Olivier Marie, ‘Economic Uncertainty, Parental Selection, and Children’s Educational Outcomes’, Journal of Political Economy, forthcoming 2017.