Events

4th Tinbergen Institute Conference
March 13-14, 2009

Conference Program

Thursday, March 12

18:30 - 20:00   Opening drinks and registration

Friday, March 13, Morning

08:45 - 09:15 Registration, Coffee
09:15 - 09:30 Opening remarks
Herman van Dijk (Director, Tinbergen Institute)
09:30 - 10:30 Session I, Financial Architecture (Chair: André Lucas)
Assessing the Emerging Global Financial Architecture: Measuring the Trilemma's Configurations over Time
Hiro Ito (Portland State University)
Discussant: Mathijs van Dijk (Erasmus University Rotterdam)
More Hedging Instruments May Destabilize Markets
Cars Hommes (University of Amsterdam)
Discussant: Remco Zwinkels (Erasmus University Rotterdam)
10:30 - 11:00 Coffee break
11:00 - 12:00 Keynote on Policy (Chair: Casper de Vries)
Philipp Hartmann (European Central Bank)
Financial Market Turmoil and Policy Responses
Discussant: Enrico Perotti (University of Amsterdam)
12:00 - 13:00   Session II, Banking (Chair: Casper de Vries)
Bank Liquidity, Interbank Markets and Monetary Policy
Antoine Martin (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)
Discussant: Iman van Lelyveld (Bank of England)
The Dark Side of Bank Wholesale Funding
Lev Ratnovski (International Monetary Fund)
Discussant: Elvira Sojli (Erasmus University Rotterdam)

Friday, March 13, Afternoon

13:00 - 14:30 Lunch
14:30 - 15:30 Keynote on Regulation (Chair: Herman van Dijk)
Robin Lumsdaine (American University)
The Future of Banking Regulation: Basel II, Quantitative Models, and Risk Management in the Aftermath of the Current Financial Crisis
15:30 - 16:30 Session III, Currency crises (Chair: Herman van Dijk)
Defending Against Speculative Attacks
Tijmen Daniëls (Technische Universität Berlin)
Discussant: Agnieszka Markiewicz (Erasmus University Rotterdam)
Speculative Attacks, Private Signals and Intertemporal Trade-offs
Nikola Tarashev (Bank for International Settlements)
Discussant: Antonio Di Cesare (Bank of Italy)
16:30 - 17:00 Coffee Break
17:00 - 18:00   Session IV, Risk Management (Chair: Erik Kole)
Value-at-Risk across horizons and financial cycle: Are solvency capital requirement rules pro-cyclical
Frédérique Bec (THEMA, Université de Cergy-Pontoise, and CREST)
Discussant: Sweder van Wijnbergen (University of Amsterdam)
Crises and Hedge Fund Risk
Loriana Pelizzon (University of Venice)
Discussant: Joop Huij (Erasmus University Rotterdam)
19:30 - 23:00 Conference dinner
Restaurant Kip
Van Vollenhovenstraat 25
Rotterdam

Saturday, March 14, Morning

08:45 - 09:00 Registration, Coffee
09:00 - 10:00 Session V, Crisis Modelling (Chair: André Lucas)
Accounting for Crises
Gwen Yu (University of Michigan)
Discussant: Jaap Bos (Utrecht University)
Bank competition and economic stability: the role of monetary policy
Sylvain Champonnois (University of California, San Diego)
Discussant: Vladimir Karamychev (Erasmus University Rotterdam)
10:00 - 10:30 Coffee break
10:30 - 11:30 Keynote on International Finance (Chair: Robin Lumsdaine)
Graciela Kaminsky (George Washington University)
Financial Globalization: Booms and Crashes
11:30 - 12:30   Session VI, Financial Econometrics (Chair: Robin Lumsdaine)
An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series
Don Harding (La Trobe University)
Discussant: Drew Creal (VU University Amsterdam)
Testing Downside Risk Efficiency Under Market Distress
Jesús Gonzalo (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid)
Discussant: Erik Kole (Erasmus University Rotterdam)

Saturday, March 14, Afternoon

12:30 - 14:00 Lunch Buffet & Poster Session
14:00 - 15:00 Keynote on Crisis Management (Chair: Dick van Dijk)
Stijn Claessens (International Monetary Fund)
Causes of the Crisis and Lessons for Macroeconomic Policy and Regulation
15:00 - 16:00   Session VII, Financial Markets (Chair: Dick van Dijk)
The Dynamics of Sovereign Credit Risk
Alexandre Jeanneret (University of Lausanne)
Discussant: Roman Kräussl (VU University Amsterdam)
Centralization versus Decentralization of the Lender of Last Resort
Itai Agur (De Nederlandsche Bank)
Discussant: Jorn Zenhorst (Erasmus University Rotterdam)

Poster session

  • Eduardo Cavallo (Inter-American Development Bank)
    Do Credit Rating Agencies Add Value? Evidence from the Sovereign Rating Business Institutions
  • Benjamin Hamidi (ABN AMRO, University of Paris 1)
    A Centile Regression Approach for Crisis Analysis
  • Taisei Kaizoji (International Christian University, Tokyo)
    Concentration and Collapse in Markets: A Mechanism Leading from Bubbles to Crashes
  • Jean-Philippe Médecin (ABN AMRO, University Paris 1)
    Financial Crises, Extreme Volatilities and L-moment Estimations of Tail-indexes
  • Christoph Meinerding (Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität Münster)
    What is the Impact of Stock Market Contagion on an Investor's Portfolio Choice?
  • Andrea Monticini (Università di Genova)
    The Intraday Interest Rate under a Liquidity Crisis: The Case of August 2007
  • Tanseli Savaser (Williams College)
    Extreme Returns without News: the Case for Currencies
  • Chen Zhou (Erasmus University Rotterdam, De Nederlandsche Bank)
    Can Open Capital Markets Help Avoid Currency Crises?