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15-095/III - What Do Professional Forecasters Actually Predict?

  • Authors
    Didier Nibbering, Erasmus University Rotterdam, the Netherlands; Richard Paap, Erasmus University Rotterdam, the Netherlands; Michel van der Wel, Erasmus University Rotterdam, the Netherlands
  • Publication date
    August 7, 2015
  • Keywords
    forecast evaluation, Survey of Professional Forecasters, expert forecast, trend-cycle decomposition, state space modeling, Baxter-King filter