3530 Discussion Papers

• 26-075/VII - Randomizing in Search Ad Auctions to Extract Revenue from Runaway Winners

  Author: Simon van Tartwijk, University of Amsterdam

  Date: September 25, 2026

• 26-074/III - New Early-Warning Indicators of Macro-Financial Risk: A Mixture-of-Experts Approach

  Authors: Francisco Blasques, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Nepomuk Dunz, World Bank; Erik Feyen, World Bank; Charl Jooste, World Bank; Siem Jan Koopman , Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Gabriele Mingoli, Aarhus University

  Date: September 25, 2026

• 26-073/III - Synchronized Time Series Models for National Accounts Data

  Authors: Lucas Harlaar, Maastricht University; Jan van den Brakel, Maastricht University; Siem Jan Koopman, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: September 24, 2026

• 26-072/VII - Truth, Lies, and Social Ties: When Image Concerns Fuel Fake News

  Authors: Dana Sisak, Erasmus University Rotterdam ; Philipp Denter, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid

  Date: September 17, 2026

• 26-071/VII - A Subsidization Dilemma: the Effect of Shadow Cost of Public Funds and Consumer Distribution

  Authors: Jaap Roelen, University of Amsterdam; Martijn Ketelaars, Tilburg University; Peter Kort, Tilburg University

  Date: September 17, 2026

• 26-070/III - Market-Informed Networks for Modeling and Forecast Evaluation of Financial Extremes

  Authors: Ayla Jungbluth, Ruhr-University Bochum; Johannes Lederer, University of Hamburg; Simon Trimborn, University of Amsterdam

  Date: September 10, 2026

• 26-069/IV - Blockchains and Strategic Secondary Censorship

  Authors: Yackolley Amoussou-Guenou, Université Paris-Panthéon-Assas; Maarten R.C. van Oordt, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: September 10, 2026

• 26-068/III - Filtering without Recursion and Some of Its Uses in Financial Economics

  Authors: Simon Donker van Heel, Erasmus University Rotterdam; Neil Shephard, Harvard University

  Date: September 10, 2026

• 26-067/VIII - Claims on What Remains

  Authors: Erik Ansink, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Hans-Peter Weikard, Wageningen University

  Date: September 04, 2026

• 26-066/V - A Bayesian-Inspired Approach to Improving the Precision of Synthetic Panel Estimates of Poverty Dynamics

  Authors: Gerton Rongen, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Peter Lanjouw, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Chris Elbers, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: September 04, 2026

• 26-065/I - What Makes Life Meaningful?

  Authors: Jan Berendsen, University of Hamburg; Robert Dur, Erasmus University Rotterdam; Iris Kesternich, University of Hamburg

  Date: September 04, 2026

• 26-064/I - A Competitive World

  Authors: Thomas Buser, University of Amsterdam; Alexander W. Cappelen, NHH Norwegian School of Economics; Uri Gneezy, Rady School of Management; Bertil Tungodden, NHH Norwegian School of Economics

  Date: September 03, 2026

• 26-063/I - Gender differences in willingness to compete: A survey of the literature

  Author: Thomas Buser, University of Amsterdam

  Date: September 01, 2026

• 26-062/I - Off-Path Beliefs

  Authors: Duarte Gonçalves, University College London; Terri Kneeland, University of Calgary; Andreas G. B. Ziegler, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: August 28, 2026

• 26-061/III - Composite Univariate Modeling of Realized Covariance Matrix Dynamics and Volatility-at-Risk

  Authors: Justus Holman, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Andre Lucas, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Anne Opschoor, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: August 28, 2026

• 26-060/III - Joint Eigenvector and Eigenvalue Dynamics with an Application to Time-Varying Covariance Matrices

  Authors: Justus Holman, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam ; Yicong Lin, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam ; Andre Lucas, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam ; Anne Opschoor, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: August 28, 2026

• 26-059/V - Dust in the Wind: Causes and Consequences of Managerial Replacements

  Author: Jan van Ours , Erasmus University Rotterdam

  Date: August 18, 2026

• 26-058/VII - An Allocative Efficiency Rationale for a Universal Basic Income

  Authors: Robert Dur, Erasmus University Rotterdam; Anja Schöttner, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin

  Date: August 18, 2026

• 26-057/III - A Dynamic Nonlinear Panel Decomposition Model for the Global Environmental Kuznets Curve

  Authors: Cheyenne Amoroso, Universidade da A Coruna; Carolina Garcia-Martos, Universidad Politecnica de Madrid; Siem Jan Koopman, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: August 18, 2026

• 26-056/III - When Is the Mover-Design Event Study Coefficient a Place-Effect Share?

  Author: Vahid Moghani, Erasmus University Rotterdam

  Date: August 11, 2026